The pace is our guess at how many wedgies the 2026/27 season will finish with.
Over the last 12 completed seasons a normal season works out at 53 wedgies.
Each season's wedgies are divided by the games it actually played, so the shortened 2019/20 and 2020/21 seasons count by how often wedgies happened, not by their smaller totals. On average that's one wedgie every 25 games, over a full season:
The average rate is (48/1,311 + 44/1,316 + … + 74/1,322) ÷ 12, each season's wedgies over the games it played.
Yellow seasons had wedgies more often than average, pink ones less. The white line is a normal season.
1 wedgie in 28 games, out of an estimated 1,315 for the whole season. That leaves about 1,287 games to play.
The total is an estimate: the 1,230 regular-season games are fixed, but how many play-in and playoff games there will be isn't known until the season ends.
We expect the games still to play to go like a normal season, and add this season's wedgies so far. Move the numbers below to try it.